NFL
College
BANKROLL $5,000
On the card $326 7% of your 20% limit
Bet 7 games today
Each is its own bet at Hard Rock . Take the number shown or better; if it has moved past it, skip it. 23 other games were checked and passed.
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Total bet $326
To win ? +$293
Payout $618
Chance the day finishes ahead: 58% ?
How often these bets together end the day in profit, from the same 20,000 simulated games the card was priced with. Bets on one game move together; different games do not.
It is the honest partner to “to win”: the best case is rare, finishing ahead is the goal.
The best case : every bet on the card wins at the price shown. A normal day is some wins and some losses — the edge only shows up over dozens of bets.
Payout is what Hard Rock hands back if all of them win: your $326 plus the winnings.
?
Each game is drawn as a field: away end zone on the left, home on the right, one yard line per point. Blue is Hard Rock — the number you can bet. White is Pinnacle, the sharpest book. Gold is our fair line.
When gold sits further out than blue, the price is in your favour. That is the whole bet in one picture.
AT Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET Philadelphia Eagles wins, or loses by 5 or fewer — exactly 6 is a push
Ask for Philadelphia Eagles +6 at -110
-14 -7 -3 PK +3 +7 +14 AWAY HOME Hard Rock +6.0 -- the number you can bet Pinnacle +5.5 fair +4.3 BET $89
1.8% of rollwins $81
We give this 58.2% to happen. Hard Rock’s -110 only needs 52.4% , and Pinnacle — the sharpest book — says 49.9%.
That gap is worth 11.2 cents per dollar bet, on average. Anything under 3 cents is noise and never reaches this list.
The stake is sized from your bankroll and capped: never more than 3% on one bet, 5% on one game, 20% on the card.
AT Mon Nov 2 · 8:20 PM ET Seattle Seahawks wins by 4 or more — exactly 3 is a push
Ask for Seattle Seahawks -3 at -115
-14 -7 -3 PK +3 +7 +14 AWAY HOME Hard Rock +3.0 -- the number you can bet Pinnacle +3.5 fair +5.3 BET $80
1.6% of rollwins $69
We give this 58.6% to happen. Hard Rock’s -115 only needs 53.5% , and Pinnacle — the sharpest book — says 50.9%.
That gap is worth 9.5 cents per dollar bet, on average. Anything under 3 cents is noise and never reaches this list.
The stake is sized from your bankroll and capped: never more than 3% on one bet, 5% on one game, 20% on the card.
AT Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET 45 or fewer points, both teams combined
Ask for Under 45.5 at -110
40 43 46 49 52 Hard Rock 45.5 Pinnacle 45.0 fair 43.4 BET $60
1.2% of rollwins $54
We give this 56.7% to happen. Hard Rock’s -110 only needs 52.4% , and Pinnacle — the sharpest book — says 50.0%.
That gap is worth 8.2 cents per dollar bet, on average. Anything under 3 cents is noise and never reaches this list.
The stake is sized from your bankroll and capped: never more than 3% on one bet, 5% on one game, 20% on the card.
AT Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET Indianapolis Colts wins, or loses by 9 or fewer — exactly 10 is a push
Ask for Indianapolis Colts +10 at -110
-14 -7 -3 PK +3 +7 +14 AWAY HOME Hard Rock +10.0 -- the number you can bet Pinnacle +10.5 fair +9.4 BET $43
0.9% of rollwins $39
We give this 55.6% to happen. Hard Rock’s -110 only needs 52.4% , and Pinnacle — the sharpest book — says 49.6%.
That gap is worth 6.2 cents per dollar bet, on average. Anything under 3 cents is noise and never reaches this list.
The stake is sized from your bankroll and capped: never more than 3% on one bet, 5% on one game, 20% on the card.
AT Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET Tennessee Titans wins, or loses by 10 or fewer — exactly 11 is a push
Ask for Tennessee Titans +11 at -110
-14 -7 -3 PK +3 +7 +14 AWAY HOME Hard Rock +11.0 -- the number you can bet Pinnacle +10.5 fair +10.4 BET $23
0.5% of rollwins $21
We give this 54.7% to happen. Hard Rock’s -110 only needs 52.4% , and Pinnacle — the sharpest book — says 49.4%.
That gap is worth 4.4 cents per dollar bet, on average. Anything under 3 cents is noise and never reaches this list.
The stake is sized from your bankroll and capped: never more than 3% on one bet, 5% on one game, 20% on the card.
AT Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET Minnesota Vikings wins, or loses by 3 or fewer
Ask for Minnesota Vikings +3.5 at -115
-14 -7 -3 PK +3 +7 +14 AWAY HOME Hard Rock +3.5 -- the number you can bet Pinnacle +3.0 fair +2.3 BET $17
0.3% of rollwins $14
We give this 55.8% to happen. Hard Rock’s -115 only needs 53.5% , and Pinnacle — the sharpest book — says 52.6%.
That gap is worth 4.4 cents per dollar bet, on average. Anything under 3 cents is noise and never reaches this list.
The stake is sized from your bankroll and capped: never more than 3% on one bet, 5% on one game, 20% on the card.
AT Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET 41 or more points, both teams combined — exactly 40 is a push
Ask for Over 40 at -110
34 37 40 43 46 Hard Rock 40.0 Pinnacle 40.5 fair 41.2 BET $15
0.3% of rollwins $14
We give this 54.1% to happen. Hard Rock’s -110 only needs 52.4% , and Pinnacle — the sharpest book — says 50.3%.
That gap is worth 3.4 cents per dollar bet, on average. Anything under 3 cents is noise and never reaches this list.
The stake is sized from your bankroll and capped: never more than 3% on one bet, 5% on one game, 20% on the card.
Practice mode: treat these as paper until the Bankroll page shows we beat Pinnacle’s closing line on 100+ picks.
The 23 games we passed on tap one to see why
15 of 29 games not posted yet at Pinnacle or Hard Rock: shown on offshore lines, nothing staked.
29 of 29 games priced 4 h ago by the worker.
What changed recently Oct 30 03:30 graded 2 pick(s); today 0-2, +0.00 if every pick was followedOct 30 00:34 settle: CLV fixed for 2, results for 0Oct 30 00:10 priced nfl: 29/29 games, 7 staked bets, 13 unstaked picks, 0 newly loggedOct 30 00:05 priced nfl: 29/29 games, 7 staked bets, 13 unstaked picks, 0 newly loggedOct 30 00:00 priced nfl: 29/29 games, 7 staked bets, 13 unstaked picks, 0 newly loggedOct 29 23:55 priced nfl: 29/29 games, 7 staked bets, 13 unstaked picks, 0 newly loggedOct 29 23:53 capture: 2/2 picks closed
#441 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers spreads Carolina Panthers +4 +102 -> close -110+3.5 (line moved +4 -> +3.5, 5 books)
#458 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers h2h Carolina Panthers +170 -> close +170 (same book)Oct 29 23:50 priced nfl: 29/29 games, 7 staked bets, 13 unstaked picks, 0 newly logged